Tuesday, 10 September 2013

Further Ethno-Religious Polarization of Nigeria by the PDP Split By Sancho Oprah

The New PDP faction formed as a result of the August 31st mini convention of PDP by disgruntled political heavy weights from the north led by Atiku Abubakar a former Vice president of Nigeria, 7 governors mainly from the north and a former acting national chairman of PDP  Abubakar Kawu Baraje have further deepened the ethnic-religious divide among Nigerians.

It is worthy of note that the members of the breakaway faction gives this whole PDP split drama an ethno-religious coloration with 6 out of the 7 governors from the north and the main man thought to have orchestrated and led the governors away on the day of the mini convention also from the north. In fact, of the 52 house members and 24 senators rumored to have openly declared support and allegiance to the new PDP faction, 80% are thought to be mainly from the north. The only southern presence is the Rivers state governor Rotimi Amaechi and his supporters; most notable among them is Sam Jaja the vice chairman of the new PDP.

It is pertinent to note that the government of President Goodluck Jonathan and his loyalist has through its fighting dogs, continually and dangerously threaded by further deepening the already existing ethno-religious divide each time elders like Edwin Clark and ex militant Asari Dokubo come out in his defense to insist that he will contest come 2015 or Nigeria will cease to exist. These deplorable and inflammatory statements of theirs have further made the president look suspect on this very sensitive terrain and never helped matters or douse such feelings shared among people.

This ethno-religious coloration to the current crisis rocking the largest party in Africa has further worsened President Jonathan’s chances at the polls come 2015 considering the large voting population/bloc in the states led by these rebel governors. With most members of the newly formed PDP rumored to have romanced with the opposition either currently or in the past as a merger is thought to be in the pipeline for the new PDP and the newly formed APC formed by an alliance by the progressive parties which have continued to wax stronger and consolidate their spread and support base from the south-west down to the north, which has always been the strong hold of the PDP.

As the politicking of 2015 unfolds in the coming days and the crisis rocking the largest party in Africa continues unabated, one hopes that it does not deteriorate to the level of ethno-religious violence come 2015, as we await to see how the presidency with the aid of Tony Anenih aka “Mr. Fix” believed to be experienced in games of this nature will come out of this current political quagmire he has currently found himself. Or will the unfolding drama and wrangling (current crisis) rocking the PDP, which is on its way to self implosion, sweep away the PDP and Mr. President ambition of a deserved second term as claimed by those in the presidency.

It is a known fact that both factions do not have the interest of Nigerians. In all, it calls for caution from both factions as it will benefit no one if this personal interest of theirs deteriorates to ethno-religious violence come 2015.  As the adage goes in local parlance “where two elephant fight na the grass dey suffer”.
As these permutations and power tussles continue, 2015 begins to look very interesting as all political intrigues displayed by these political heavy weights continue. We wait to witness whether PDP will remain in power with President Jonathan as president come 2015 or will there be power shift to another political party as the self implosion in PDP threatens?

Sancho Oprah is a freelance writer. He Tweets @sancho_oprah, email: sanchoo.opara@gmail.com

Credits: Omojuwa

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